To quote the baseball great Yogi Berra, "It's déjà vu all over again." This summer Mars will be the brightest it will ever be in our lifetimes. But just as in 2001, the last time Mars was bright in the sky, a global dust storm threatens to block out all observable surface features.
Veteran Mars observer Donald C. Parker reports that significant changes have taken place on Mars in the last 72 hours. On Wednesday, Parker said, "I'd call it a dust cloud, not a dust storm." But after looking at images from this morning, his outlook was far more bleak.
Beginning on July 1st, Parker noticed a marked weakening, or lightening, of the conspicuous dark feature Syrtis Major in images taken with his 16-inch Newtonian reflector in Coral Gables, Florida. Yet just the previous morning another Mars expert, Jeffrey D. Beish, had described Syrtis Major as dark and normal when viewed visually with his own 16-inch at Lake Placid, Florida. Parker also noticed some bright ochre spots rimming the Hellas impact basin and partially obscuring the Iapygia region (between Hellas and Syrtis Major). Similar spots around Hellas had been imaged by Texas amateur Ed Grafton on June 28th.
By early yesterday morning, July 2nd, it was clear that something major was taking place. Parker noted that the isolated clouds he'd seen over Iapygia the night before had coalesced and expanded to form one cloud, bright when viewed in red light. The coalescing cloud is on the side of the planet that can currently be studied most easily from the Americas. It is centered at Martian latitude 25° south, longitude 294° west.
This morning Parker noted that the "cloud" had doubled in size and appeared to be a bona fide storm. "It's extremely bright," remarks Parker, and "it looks like the dust has spread in the past 24 hours." The storm has grown such that it is now covering part of the Hellas basin and has extended east into Mare Tyrrhenum.
"It's scary. This is almost a repeat of what happened in 2001," adds Parker. "But with Mars, who knows? Maybe we'll get lucky and it will just go away. We should know in a day or two."
Parker credits Beish, former Mars recorder for the Association of Lunar and Planetary Observers, with having predicted this localized event almost to the day. In Beish's view the dust cloud is unlikely to become widespread. Rather, it may be the precursor of a global dust storm that Beish feels is a distinct possibility for September.