Kelly Beatty
NEWS by Kelly Beatty

Kepler Mission Gets Four More Years

NASA officials have announced that the Kepler mission will be extended through September 30, 2016.

This decision was a no-brainer. Now Kepler can continue doing what it was designed to do: find planets encircling other stars like the Sun.

Kepler in space
An artist's impression of the Kepler spacecraft, which is basically a wide-field photometer fed by a 37-inch (0.95-m) telescope.
NASA / Ames Research Center
In case you've missed it, the spacecraft has already discovered more than 2,000 exoplanet candidates since its launch in March 2009. It's been staring at more than 145,000 stars near the Cygnus-Lyra border, watching for little dips in each star's light caused by a planet passing in front of it. This transit technique is especially good at finding companions close to their host stars, and Kepler's main objective is to find as many small ones — sized like Earth — as possible.

Finding Earths requires extremely careful measurements. A planet like ours, passing in front of a star like ours, yields a brightness dip of just 85 parts per million (0.0085%). If the planet is orbiting far enough from a Sun-like star to be in the star's "habitable zone," its orbital period will be roughly one year and, consequently, its transits would only happen this often. So the mission was designed to last 3½ years, until the end of September 2012, in order to record three transits of Earthlike exoplanets in Earthlike orbits.

But Kepler's dilemma, as I detailed last July, is that star brightnesses are twice as "noisy" on average as astronomers expected. The up-and-down churning of gas in 12th-magnitude dwarf stars (considered best bets for detecting Earth clones) causes their brightness to vary by about 20 ppm, on average, over time scales of a few hours. This noisier background means that Kepler needs to record seven or eight successive transits, not just three, to coax out believable signatures for small planets.

Kepler control center at LASP
The Kepler spacecraft is controlled from the operations center at the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics at the University of Colorado. It's staffed by students and LASP professionals.
LASP
So NASA's decision to let Kepler keep watching all those stars for four more years was logical — but not a sure thing. The spacecraft is in great shape, but an extended mission would require about $60 million, a lot of money given the space agency's lean budget. A few weeks ago Kepler managers made their pitch before a high-level review committee, which fortunately agreed that the mission is a gold mine of scientific discovery and should get the needed funding.

Remember, Kepler is doing more than discovering boatloads of exoplanets. Its continuous, extremely precise brightness measurements are revealing all kinds of things about the 145,000 target stars themselves. For instance, astronomers are now able to deduce accurate masses for many of those stars — a key characteristic that's difficult to obtain by other means. And Kepler's contributions to asteroseismology (how stars vibrate and jiggle by tiny amounts, revealing their interior structure) has been off the charts.

I've said this before, but it bears repeating: when its mission is finally over, whether due to a cutoff of extended-mission funding or some fatal malfunction, Kepler will be recognized as one of the most successful spacecraft that NASA ever launched.

By the way, the same review panel also gave a green light to mission extensions for the infrared Spitzer Space Telescope (to 2014) and the U.S.-funded portion of the European Space Agency's Planck microwave-background observatory (for one more year).

Posted by Kelly Beatty, April 5, 2012
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First comments (from 17)

Kepler

Posted by Robert April 5, 2012 At 10:57 AM PDT
YEAH! This was a no brainer!


NASA & Metric Fuddlement

Posted by Melrod April 5, 2012 At 06:21 PM PDT
The 'Artist's Impression' illustration of Kepler states it is a 38 inch (0.95 cm) telescope. Hasn't NASA figured out the metric system yet? And it's actually closer to 0.97 METERS! Talk about no-brainers.


re: NASA & Metric Fuddlement

Posted by Kelly Beatty April 6, 2012 At 04:34 AM PDT
Melrod: I'm afraid that I, not NASA, need to take the hit for that bad conversion, now fixed. thanks!


re: NASA & Metric Fuddlement

Posted by Melrod April 6, 2012 At 07:41 AM PDT
Thanks Kelly. My sarcasm was unwarranted.


Good News!

Posted by Anthony Barreiro April 6, 2012 At 12:06 PM PDT
This is indeed very good news. Friends and family who have little interest in astronomy often ask me about exoplanet discoveries they've learned of through the news. Thoughts of planets orbiting other stars and the possibility of life beyond our own solar system excite people's imaginations and lead to many teachable moments -- the distances to other stars in our galaxy; the relative sizes of stars, planets, and planetary orbits; the photometry of detecting transits; and the conditions that sustain life on our planet Earth and possibly on other worlds -- to name just a few that have come up in the casual conversations of one amateur in the past few months. Keeping Kepler in operation is good not just for the science of exoplanets, but also for the public reputation of science generally, astronomy in particular, and robotic space telescopes specifically. If people are still interested after talking about Kepler, I might mention the James Webb Space Telescope and NASA's funding dilemmas. Best wishes to the Kepler team for the discovery of many more planets, and a few promising Goldilocks planets.


Kepler Methodology

Posted by Kris April 6, 2012 At 07:57 PM PDT
I'm guessing that to find a planet in the 'noise', investigators would look for credible periodicity in the noise that would indicate the possible presence of a planet. To narrow it down, bounds on the periodicity could be constructed to constrain investigations of possible planets to a star's habitable zone.


Well all right!

Posted by Mark April 7, 2012 At 08:48 AM PDT
I am glad the folks at NASA decided to keep Kepler going. The fact that it was even considered for cancellation was perplexing to me. This mission is providing the first real steps toward answering one of the most fundamental questions humans have been asking throughout history: is there life beyond earth? I look forward to hearing about more discoveries from this incredible robot.


Kepler keeps going

Posted by Rod April 7, 2012 At 03:10 PM PDT
Yes it will be exciting to see what the future holds for Kepler exoplanet findings. If folks go to the Kepler home page, 61 exoplanets are *confirmed*. I prefer this type of science to hype. With some 2300 or more candidates, it appears that confirming as real exoplanets is not an easy task. http://kepler.nasa.gov/


Kepler Mission Extention

Posted by Bruce April 7, 2012 At 04:27 PM PDT
Dittos to Robert, Anthony and Mark. I’d like to add that because it takes at least three transit observations for any presumptive planet detection to be seen by Kepler, the initial mission always seemed to short to me. The “goldilocks” combo of earthlike planet in earthlike orbit around sun-like star will produce a hard to detect (weak) signal even under ideal conditions. This signal will also have a period of about 1 year, longer for hotter stars and shorter for cooler ones. And, by design, even when everything is working perfectly, there are required periodic (monthly and quarterly) gaps in the data when the machine has to be repositioned for data transmission and heat shield reorientation. Therefore it’s a given that some transits will be missed, at least in part. Even a perfect earth/sun analog could be missed if the planet’s transits were in phase with Kepler’s download schedule. My point is that more Kepler time is definitely called for, even without the discovery that most sun-like stars are noisier than the sun. Up with the Kepler planet count!


The joy of Kepler

Posted by Bruce April 7, 2012 At 08:20 PM PDT
And to Rod, friend, as usual, you attempt to bring us back down to earth with your reflective, anti-hype, the proof will be elusive line of thinking. Ok, fine, so only 61 Kepler exoplanets are “confirmed.” But even the conservative Kepler professionals say that they’re confident that “90–95%” of the announced candidates will ultimately be confirmed. That would mean that at least 2070 of the 2300 unconfirmed candidates are real! Therefore I refuse to be deflated, I remain elated. Once more I say Up with P(Kepler)!


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