Hermes was recovered on October 15th by Brian A. Skiff (Lowell Observatory Near-Earth Object Search, Arizona). Based on initial spectroscopy by Andrew S. Rivkin and Richard P. Binzel (MIT), the asteroid appears to be an S-type (stony) minor planet with an estimated diameter of about 1 kilometer.
In late October 2003, Hermes will be bright enough (magnitude 13) to be seen in 10-inch and larger amateur telescopes as it races westward across Cetus and Pisces. By month's end it will be moving 7° per day and gaining. Unlike the situation in 1937, when Hermes skimmed to within 800,000 km of our planet (two Earth-Moon distances), it will pass about nine times that far on November 4th, 2003.
The ephemeris below gives Hermes's right ascension and declination (equinox 2000.0) at 0 hours Universal Time on each date, its elongation angle from the Sun, visual magnitude, and the constellation through which it is passing.
|Nov 01||22 53.3||-05 06||125||13.3||Aqr|
|Nov 02||22 17.4||-06 25||115||13.4||Aqr|
|Nov 03||21 35.7||-07 44||104||13.6||Aqr|
|Nov 04||20 49.8||-08 52||91||13.9||Aqr|
|Nov 05||20 02.9||-09 41||79||14.4||Aql|
|Nov 06||19 18.6||-10 04||67||15.1||Aql|
Hermes circles the Sun once every 2.13 years in an orbit inclined 6° to the Earth's. Since 1937 it has traveled well beyond Mars's distance, then looped inside the orbit of Venus, 31 times.
Despite knowing details of the 1937 and 2003 encounters, astronomers at first had trouble accounting for Hermes's exact trajectory during the intervening 66 years. But on October 16th, Steven R. Chesley and Paul W. Chodas, using JPL's Sentry impact monitoring software, successfully modeled eight close approaches of Hermes to Earth and Venus, including an Earth approach in 1942 to within about 600,000 km — 1.6 times the average Earth-Moon distance. Their new orbital calculations also reveal that Hermes will not approach the Earth any closer than about 3 million km during the next 100 years.