Calling all imagers! Three comets will make close flybys of Earth over the next two years. Join a new pro-am effort to make the most of this rare triple play.
If you're as crazy about comets as I am, here's an opportunity to make an important contribution to their understanding. The Planetary Science Institute (PSI) is putting out the call to amateurs and professionals alike to make the best of a unique opportunity.
The Planetary Science Institute is a private, nonprofit corporation dedicated to solar system exploration. It's headquartered in Tucson, Arizona, where it was founded in 1972. PSI scientists and educators are involved in everything from space missions to solar system studies, science education, and public outreach.
Three comets — 41P/Tuttle-Giacobini-Kresak, 45P/Honda-Mrkos-Pajdusakova, and 46P/Wirtanen — will all pass Earth at very close distances ranging from 7.4 million to 14 million miles (11.9 to 22.5 million km) within the next two years. Close approaches of three comets within two years are rare and only happen every few decades.
“We are organizing a worldwide coma morphology campaign for three comets,” said Nalin Samarasinha, senior scientist at PSI, who is leading the project. “Two of these comets will have close approaches to Earth in early 2017, while the third one will come close in late 2018. We want to get both professional and amateur astronomers involved in the campaign.”
The new push, modeled after their Comet ISON (C/2012 S1) effort from several years back, is called the 4*P Coma Morphology Campaign. It seeks detailed images of each comet's coma from locations spread across the globe to ensure continuous monitoring of fast-changing activity near the nucleus. The comets are expected to be most active when within 1.5 astronomical units of the Sun.
You can submit photos taken in regular light showing dust features or taken through narrowband filters that enhance a comet's gaseous emissions. PSI suggests the best time to obtain images will be from about mid-February through mid-March 2017 for 45P/H-M-P and the end of January through July 2017 for 41P/T-G-K. Because it's still far off, the Institute will specify the best times for 46P/Wirtanen in 2018.
Through the pro-am effort, astronomers hope to determine key characteristics about each of the three comets: the rotation rate of the nucleus, the onset and evolution of any outbursts or fragmentation events, as well as changes in coma and tail structure. If your photo is used in the study, you'll receive mention as a co-author.
Another group, the PACA Project (Pro-Am Collaborative Astronomy), is also getting into the act and welcomes not only photos of small and large scale phenomena but visual observations. Padma A. Yanamandra-Fisher, a senior research scientist at the Space Science Institute and founder of the project, extends an invitation:
"The PACA Project has launched two new professional-amateur observing campaigns and invites observers of all expertise to join and share the thrill of observing comets." Interested observers should send requests to join Facebook groups PACA_4145P and PACA_46_Wirtanen at the link above.
While the PSI campaign seeks only near-nucleus coma images, visual observers can still join the fun by finding and following all three comets from their faint beginnings to what we hope will be bright and satisfying apparitions. The charts below will get you off and running.
First up is Comet 45P/H-M-P, currently around magnitude +14 but expected to brighten rapidly in the coming weeks. Watch for it to reach +7 in early January and perhaps even magnitude +6, when it passes just 7.4 million miles (11.9 million km) from Earth in mid-February. While bright, the comet will be fairly large and diffuse and located low in the southwestern early evening sky for observers at mid-northern latitudes through mid-January.
The situation improves dramatically in early February when 45P/H-M-P picks up apparent speed as it zooms by Earth, bounding from Aquila in the morning sky to Coma Berenices in the evening in the span of just two weeks!
About the time 45P/H-M-P rounds the corner from Coma into Leo and slows down, 41P/T-G-K heats up. Expect it to brighten to magnitude +12 in late February while moving north along the border between Leo and Cancer in the evening sky. Keeping pace with the seasonal constellations from winter through early summer, the comet will be well placed throughout its apparition. Come early April, it may reach magnitude +6 and become faintly visible with the naked eye as it crosses from the Big Dipper into Draco.
After these two flybys, we'll have to sit tight for the grand finale, when 46P/Wirtanen cracks the 12th-magnitude barrier in early October 2018. Like 45P/H-M-P, it should quickly brighten, catapulting to the top of its light curve in mid-December at 4th magnitude — an easy catch for naked-eye observers under reasonably dark skies. At that time, 46P/Wirtanen will be winging its way northward across Taurus and Auriga and beautifully placed for viewing.
Comets are notorious for both surprise outbursts in brightness and not living up to expectations. The peak magnitudes just described come from light curves provided by Seiichi Yoshida on his Visual Comets of the Future page. Predictions are decidedly more conservative on the JPL Horizons site where 45P/H-M-P peaks at magnitude +6, 41P/T-G-K at +8, and 46P/Wirtanen at +7.5. But no matter which light curve you lean on, all three should be easy binocular comets and reveal lots of coma details to imagers.
To participate in the campaign, click here for complete details.