The Alpha Monocerotids happened as predicted, even if not quite as we expected.

Alpha Monocerotid sighting
Michael Boyle Sr. caught an Alpha Monocerotid speeding through Orion last night. I saw 20 meteors in an hour (not 400) from a dark sky site. But they were faint," writes Boyle.
Michael Boyle Sr.

Astronomy is just so weird. Sometimes you have to take it in stride. After the hype of the Alpha Monocerotids — of which I'm partly to blame — the shower proved to be very weak. Michael Boyle Sr., an amateur astronomer in Florida, an ideal spot from which to view the event, reported about 20 meteors per hour at peak. Others saw a few. I stood in a bitter cold wind for an hour and 15 minutes and saw exactly one.

I can't tell you exactly why the shower was a dud, but it's safe to say our understanding of the Alpha Monocerotids is imperfect despite the fact that the researchers nailed the predicted peak within 10 minutes of the original estimate (5:00 UT vs. 4:50 UT). While the 400 meteors per hour rate was for ideal conditions over a short period of time, the radiant was low for many observers in the U.S., so fewer meteors were expected. Still, I was surprised that I saw almost none. My skies were excellent despite occasional clouds, with the winter Milky Way easily visible. The radiant stood a couple of fists above the horizon. (Nov. 23 update: The count was off by a factor of 5 possibly due to Earth grazing the comet's trail instead of passing directly through it.)

Sirius over Superior
While waiting and watching for meteors, other sights made the outing a special one — including seeing Sirius reflecting on Lake Superior.
Bob King

While astronomers can predict the positions of planets and stars like clockwork, some phenomena remain elusive. The aurorae are a prime example — infamous for either not showing up on time, not happening when they're "supposed to," or appearing unexpectedly.

Native American mythology makes room for nature's unpredictable side by including a character called the trickster, which usually takes the form of an animal. Locally, he's a coyote. The trickster is a supernatural being who likes to mess with humans and break the rules. If you're a skywatcher, it eventually becomes second-nature to allow for a potentially spectacular event to not happen at all. Yes, there is disappointment, but there is often joy in the occasion for the simple reason that you showed up.

Showing up means you invested a part of yourself and time to pay attention to something in that big world out there. In doing so, you've also opened yourself up to experiencing something unexpected. At the very minimum, those who did go out last night got to see Orion and Sirius in all their twinkling glory. I saw that . . . and a little more.

The sky over my house was solidly overcast an hour before the start of shower, but for some reason was clear over the neighboring Lake Superior. I wished for a boat. In lieu of that, I got in the car and drove the two miles down to the lake. Incredibly, a chunk of clear sky hung open in the southeastern sky in the direction of Orion and the shower. Elsewhere clouds hung thickly.

Spectacular shower, right? Nope. What you're seeing is actually a train of F-16 jets flying in a formation over Lake Superior. The bright star is Sirius.
Bob King

I set up a camera, stood in the 20 mph, 20° wind, and watched. I saw a couple of sporadic or unrelated meteors but no shower members until around 10:37 p.m. That's when I noticed what looked like sparks flashing from the radiant (from where the meteors appear to stream), southwest of Procyon, a star near the constellation of Monoceros, the Unicorn.

The sparking continued for several minutes and looked almost exactly like distant fireworks — pop! pop pop! pop! I started yelling crazy "wows" into the wind, thinking this was it, the event we had all hoped for — until I looked around and noticed there weren't any sister meteors plowing across the rest of the sky. That wasn't normal. A couple minutes later the flashes had shifted further west and eventually it became apparent: I was looking at a bunch of airplanes!

We have a national guard air base in Duluth, Minnesota, and the pilots will routinely practice flying at night over Lake Superior and the neighboring state of Wisconsin. I'd never seen so many bunched up so close at a distance. Their flashing lights mimicked head-on meteor flares and created the perfect fake meteor shower with a "radiant" or direction of travel from the southeast of Monoceros.

The Big Dipper returns
By 11 o'clock the Big Dipper began to climb the northeastern sky once again. 
Bob King

The sole Alpha Monocerotid I saw streaked slowly upward from the Unicorn and sliced across Orion, maxing out around first magnitude. For me, though, the Milky Way was enough, the Big Dipper standing on his handle above wispy clouds, and the roar of waves slapping the rocks below the road where I parked my car.

Now nearly frozen, I collapsed the tripod and got back into the car at 11:30 p.m., strangely content after not seeing what might have been the best meteor shower of my life.


This post originally appeared in AstroBob: Celestial happenings you can see from your own backyard.

Comments


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Rod

November 22, 2019 at 2:23 pm

Bob, thanks for the report and your observations. I tried last night in Maryland but overcast skies entirely and today, light rain. I had similar weather for the Leonids too 🙂

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Bob King

November 22, 2019 at 3:00 pm

Thank you, Rod. There will be another. I was almost in the same boat save for that near-magical clearing.

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Thierry-Beauvilain

November 22, 2019 at 7:09 pm

Hello,
I spent 2h10 mn shooting 130 pictures (Canon EOS 6D MkII astro modified with Sigma 14 mm F1.8 Art set at ISO 3200, F2.5 for 1 mn on a star adventurer aiming at the Monocerotids quandrant) and did not record any... The sky was clear in center France at 4 pm when I left home and I started the shooting around 4h50 up to 7h10. Light clouds started to pour in around 6h but bright stars were still visible.
You are right: being outside under these wonders even though the big show did not happen is always nice!
Clear skies,
Thierry

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:30 pm

Hi Thierry,
I'm glad you found a similar enjoyment as I.

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StarGeezer

November 22, 2019 at 4:03 pm

Bob,
Love your light hearted thoughts on this "dud"...and Sirius' reflection off the lake!
We were socked in here in southern Indiana, solid overcast and rain, I'm just southwest of Louisville, KY.
My option for "observing" the a-Monocerotids was radio meteor scatter. I'm a retired broadcaster and radio amateur.
I monitored radio "beacon" frequencies on the ham radio 6 meter (50 Mhz) and 2 meter (144 Mhz) bands.
Between 05:10 and 06:10 UT I logged 12 meter bursts. All were very brief and faint indicating these were tiny little sand grains.
Was listening earlier but didn't get my clock calibrated to WWV until 10 after midnight EST.
Your absolutely right, showing up is more than half the fun.
Clear skies,
Mark Steven Williams
StarGeezerAstronomy
Amateur Radio: K9GX
Elizabeth, IN

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:33 pm

Thanks, Mark. Fascinating report on radio meteor scatter. I wondered if the shower might turn out better at "other frequencies" so to speak than visually.

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Frank-ReedNavigation.com

November 22, 2019 at 4:17 pm

Meteor storm prediction is surprisingly good given the limited data available, and Jenniskens and Lyytinen have a good track record. But again, it's given "limited data". We just don't know with certainty where the meteor streams ARE in any given year sufficient to "guarantee" a prediction. Nonetheless, if there's a 25% chance of seeing a meteor storm, that's a chance worth some cold fingers and toes! This one was a dud. Here's hoping for the next one...

My biggest discovery last night: light pollution here in the town where I invited a few people out to take the chance and look is easily twice as bad as it was a year ago, with no sign of slowing down. Darkness and night are the enemy in the US of A in the year 2019, and we can kiss the Milky Way goodbye.

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Anthony Barreiro

November 22, 2019 at 8:33 pm

The new LED streetlights are generally a disaster. But Tucson Arizona recently switched from sodium to LED lights and significantly *reduced* their light pollution. Tucson is home to several world-class observatories and a very active amateur astronomy community, and, not coincidentally, hosts the offices of the International Dark Sky Association. They installed fully shielded, warm-spectrum LED's in a smart network that turns some lights down after midnight, Here's the whole story:
https://www.darksky.org/nights-over-tucson/

Everybody who loves the night sky should join the IDA.

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:28 pm

Anthony,
I totally agree! Glad to hear that LEDs can be used well. We did something similar on a few blocks of downtown Duluth. The difference is amazing. Near-zero light pollution.

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Anthony Barreiro

November 23, 2019 at 5:50 pm

One more reason to visit Duluth! 🙂

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 9:26 pm

Anthony,
Look me up if you ever come through.

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:32 pm

Frank,
How true. And any kind of low clouds reveal light pollution in a powerful way. Let it inspire you (and me) to share ways we can all reduce it.

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gregg-schultz

November 22, 2019 at 7:43 pm

I spent three hours under absolutely clear skies outside my observatory with wonderfully dark skies. Saw no more than ten meteors. After all the hype that was posted on social media I fully expected a show at least a bit more than what happened. I've been disappointed many times by comets that never get close to predictions, and other meteor showers that failed, but this one made it to the top of my loser list. One needs to remember most events like this gather far more optimistic predictions than they deserve. In the past I don't ever recall an event such as this over producing it's forecasted outcome. Ever.

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:29 pm

Hi Gregg,
Point well taken.

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Cruz2

November 22, 2019 at 9:58 pm

Located out in Miami Florida, so light pollution is “decent” factor to consider over here. I drove an hour into the Everglades (as done at least once before) I went out there with 8 other friends I’ve known for over a decade. We even took some relaxing plant to add to the star gazing vibe. After driving through swamp, dodging alligators, and nearly getting our car stuck in mud, we finally arrive at a remote lake far out in the Everglades and far away from the light pollution source that is Miami. What we show up to is a sky full of clouds. Determined, we stay a bit and some holes in the sky open up to allow some nice views of stars but no meteor shower. Point of this story is, even though we didn’t get to see any “shooting stars”, we had a blast just being together under the night sky for the sake of astronomy. Just like Bob said in the article, there’s joy simply showing up for the occasion even if it’s disappointing!

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:27 pm

Cruz2,
Fun to think of your adventure vs. mine in the bitter chill. I faced a lake and bitter wind and you faced alligators!

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Mez

November 22, 2019 at 10:40 pm

Fabulous post, Bob.
It encapsulates the whole serendipitous wonder of sky watching. One goes looking for one thing and in the process discovers a million other wonders. Makes life worth living. Love all your stuff.
Cheers from Oz

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:26 pm

Thank you so much, Mez. Very kind of you to say!

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Declan

November 23, 2019 at 6:41 am

We had a non event here in Ireland too. Started checking the sky around 4am n continued to check until 5:30 nothing but cloud. So I feel a lil better now knowing that the whole thing was a dud. Stargazing in Ireland can be very hit or miss due to weather conditions, but I still look up.

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:26 pm

Thank you, Declan for sharing your observation.

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Joe Stieber

November 23, 2019 at 10:31 am

Even though it was a 45-minute drive each way, and I sat in the cold for nearly two hours looking at gaps between broken clouds only to see zero meteors, I don't regret in the least making the effort. I would have been mortified had I stayed home and read the next day there was indeed an outburst. Besides, I had a pleasant time cruising the cloud gaps with my unaided eyes and my binoculars.

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:25 pm

Hi Joe,
I would have felt the same. It makes a difference to be present at an event. And all the negative (or minimal) meteor reports do tell us something about our models. Hopefully they'll be used to refine the next outburst.

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Aqua4U

November 23, 2019 at 2:37 pm

Thanks for you words Bob! Yes.. meteor showers are incredibly fickle. I saw zero Alpha Monocerotids due to a persistent marine layer and saw zero Leonids on the 17th under decent conditions. Sighs .. then smiles because you just never know when the unexpected will occur or what delights you might see .. if you are out there observing!

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Bob King

November 23, 2019 at 3:24 pm

Thanks, Aqua. Nice to hear from you. I've since learned that the peak occurred within 10 minutes of prediction, just that it was much lower than expected.

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Karen

November 24, 2019 at 3:31 am

I had cold, windy weather in the east of Spain as well. It was overcast at bedtime, but was clear at 4:40am. I held out until after 6a and saw only 3 after 6, when it clouded up and I went back to bed. But some great shots anyway. I'm glad I tried. Maybe that means that next year will be a good one!

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Bob King

November 24, 2019 at 11:20 am

That's the spirit, Karen! There are many more meteors to come with the Geminids next month and the Quadrantids in January. We're just getting warmed up.

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Joe P.

November 24, 2019 at 2:21 pm

If, though we valiantly try,
we see nothing but cloud in the sky,
the stars are still there —
and we may be aware
of the Light in our World and our I.

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Bob King

November 24, 2019 at 10:00 pm

Joe P,
Very, very nice. Thank you for that perspective.

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Joe P.

November 25, 2019 at 8:25 am

In many traditions, Light is an image of attention and awareness. Both render things visible, while unseen themselves. So, while easily ignored, outer and inner Light are at the heart of all phenomena.

May I recommend: Georg Kühlewind, "The Light of the I" (which starts by looking at the sky, and deepens . . . ): https://books.google.co.uk/books?isbn=1584204745

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Joe P.

November 25, 2019 at 8:47 am

Please replace ‘visible’ with ‘perceptible.’

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misha17

November 25, 2019 at 1:33 pm

I posted a link in the other entry, for an all-night video taken from an observatory in the Canary Islands.
It shows a brief flurry of faint meteors about 4hr 12min into the video.

Here is the link, set to start at 4hr 10mins:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=15010&v=eEOuMgCdzXM

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Bob King

November 25, 2019 at 3:19 pm

Thank you, Misha!

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AB

December 4, 2019 at 10:57 pm

"Showing up means you invested a part of yourself and time to pay attention to something in that big world out there. In doing so, you've also opened yourself up to experiencing something unexpected."
YES!! Having had the same day, a conversation with someone who has "no interest in that stuff" and stunning ignorance of that "big world out there", I really like this quote. We could all use a dose of this philosophy in our daily lives.
It was cloudy everywhere here. I stayed out long enough for my eyes to start playing tricks making me wonder if I was seeing flashes through the clouds, but, given that the shower was a bust, I guess it was just random neurons firing! 🙂

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