On June 7th, residents of Troms County, Norway, reported that they saw a large ball of fire in the sky at about 2:05 a.m., local time. Based on early reports, Knut Jørgen Røed Ødegaard (Institute of Theoretical Astrophysics, Norway) estimated that the energy of the event was comparable to the Hiroshima bomb; however this was quickly disputed.
“A Hiroshima-sized blast usually corresponds to a projectile that explodes tens of kilometers high, coming nowhere near the ground,” says David Morrison (NASA Ames Research Center). “I am skeptical that this was anything more than a very bright fireball.”
Wayne Edwards and Peter Brown, both of the Western Meteor Physics Group at the University of Western Ontario in Canada, report that their group detected the airwaves from the meteorite at stations in Germany and Kazakhstan. Using both airwave and seismic data, Edwards has calculated that the impact released between 0.1 and 0.5 kilotons of energy about 1/100th as much as the Hiroshima blast.
“That’s still substantial,” says Brown. “It’s unusual that it would impact someplace where there’s a population of any sort.”
Edwards and Brown estimate that if the meteorite had entered Earth’s atmosphere at 18 to 20 kilometers per second (40,000 to 45,000 miles per hour) about the velocity of a typical Near Earth Asteroid then a conservative estimate would put its mass between 2,000 and 10,000 kilograms (4,400 to 22,000 pounds). Most of this would burn up in the atmosphere, so only about 20 to 1000 kg might actually reach the ground.
“You’ll probably get individual fragments making it to the ground,” says Brown. “But the area there is very rugged, mostly bush and tundra, so the prospects of meteorite recovery are very low.”
Based on the seismic and airwave data, Edwards and Brown calculate that the meteorite landed somewhere around 69.1 - 69.5N and 22.2 – 24.2E; however, no material has yet been reported.
Meteorite impacts of this magnitude occur about a dozen times every year, but most strike unpopulated areas. On March 26th, 2003, a similarly energetic meteorite exploded over Park Forest, Illinois, scattering large pieces over the suburbs of Chicago. Researchers estimate that the Park Forest meteorite was anywhere from 900 to 14,000 kg and about 2 meters (6.5 feet) across; however they only recovered about 30 kg of material.